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Ostirion Special: A Very Mochi Christmas
The winter holiday season, whatever you celebrate, contains magic. From solar cults celebrating that the sun is no longer dropping from...

H-Barrio
Dec 22, 2020


Nightmarish Quantitative Errors Before Christmas
We made a horrible error in our previous post and would like to correct it before Christmas comes and any of our readers goes over the...

H-Barrio
Dec 18, 2020


Pattern Recognition in Sectorial ETFs: Predictive Trading Model
The next-to-last step in verifying the capacity of sectorial ETFs to predict the price of the market in general or their own future...

H-Barrio
Dec 15, 2020


Pattern Recognition in Sectorial ETFs: Past and Future with Predictive Power Score
The analysis we have performed, so far, for the price and returns relationships among sectorial ETFs has not been very conclusive. We...

H-Barrio
Dec 8, 2020


Series de Precios Fraccionalmente Diferenciadas como Característica en Modelos de Aprendizaje
Ya hablamos del contenido de memoria y las propiedades estadísticas de las series temporales fraccionalmente diferenciadas (fracdiff en...

H-Barrio
Dec 3, 2020


Pattern Recognition in Sectorial ETFs: Correlation to the Future
Continuing with our investigation on the possibility to capture profits from economic sector rotation through investments in sectorial...

H-Barrio
Dec 1, 2020


El Elusivo Poder Predictivo del VIX
Por su propia naturaleza el indicador VIX debería ser capaz de proveernos de cierta capacidad predictiva para los activos de bolsa del...

H-Barrio
Nov 26, 2020


Pattern Recognition in Sectorial ETFs
In the great bhavacakra of the modern global economy sector rotation strategies attempt to capture excess returns by investing in...

H-Barrio
Nov 24, 2020


Correlación entre Criptomonedas y otros Activos
Aunque en Ostirion no seamos fanáticos de las criptomonedas mantenemos en cartera algunos activos de este tipo de manera esporádica y...

H-Barrio
Nov 20, 2020


Price Time Series: Fractionally Differentiated Series with Prophet
In our previous post in this series we noticed that Facebook´s Prophet time series statistics tool can potentially generate decent...

H-Barrio
Nov 17, 2020


Price Time Series: Statistical Decomposition for SPY Price & Prophet
We like Prophet, we liked Image Comics Prophet revival a lot. Prophet is also Facebook's "free" time series forecasting tool, "free" in...

H-Barrio
Nov 10, 2020


Price Time Series: Statistical Decomposition for SPY Price & ARIMA Grid
There are multiple publications on the network (vast and infinite) regarding statistical analysis of time series using Python and its...

H-Barrio
Nov 3, 2020


Ejemplos de Series de Precios de Acciones Fraccionalmente Diferenciadas
Uno de los desafíos de intentar predecir los precios en los mercados de acciones utilizando aprendizaje automático (machine learning) es...

H-Barrio
Oct 30, 2020


Sobre la Gestión del Riesgo y la Pseudo-Diversificación
Uno de los componentes más importantes, sino el más importe, de la gestión de activos es la gestión del riesgo. Identificar y mitigar la...

H-Barrio
Oct 28, 2020


All Tomorrow's Parties - Identifying Largest Market Moves Using Deep Learning (Part IV)
In this post, the last part of the All Tomorrow's Parties model series, we are going to backtest our deep network while it attempts to...

H-Barrio
Oct 28, 2020


All Tomorrow's Parties - Identifying Largest Market Moves Using Deep Learning (Part III)
In this third installment of our journey to predicting the largest market movers of tomorrow we are going to implement and improve a set...

H-Barrio
Oct 19, 2020


All Tomorrow's Parties - Identifying Largest Market Moves Using Deep Learning (Part II)
Data preparation for stock markets price prediction using machine learning and deep neural networks.

H-Barrio
Oct 13, 2020


Elecciones en EEUU y Estructura de los Futuros de VIX
Dado el tamaño de su mercado las elecciones en EEUU son un evento financiero de primer orden a nivel global. Los mercados Estadounidenses...

H-Barrio
Oct 10, 2020


Tendencia, Capitalización, Paseos Aleatorios y Confusión Académica
Existe un gran corpus de artículos académicos en apoyo al efecto de la tendencia (momentum) en los precios futuros de las acciones de...

H-Barrio
Oct 9, 2020


All Tomorrow's Parties - Identifying Largest Market Moves Using Deep Learning (Part I)
Analysis of tops and flops in the stock market. Generation of prediction targets for machine learning models.

H-Barrio
Oct 6, 2020
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